Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.256952 0.301950 0.355314 0.424062 0.511452 0.620463 0.769390
2025-02-02 0.193757 0.249580 0.324729 0.436669 0.605489 0.862157 1.307726
2025-02-09 0.157086 0.215789 0.302386 0.446556 0.696742 1.150567 2.150517
2025-02-16 0.134314 0.193850 0.288220 0.460397 0.798077 1.521183 3.567085
2025-02-23 0.117309 0.175989 0.274496 0.468404 0.891523 1.949651 5.839820
2025-03-02 0.103994 0.160996 0.261323 0.472007 0.977496 2.442262 9.569487
2025-03-09 0.092852 0.147472 0.247433 0.469164 1.047511 2.971247 15.578873
2025-03-16 0.083048 0.134624 0.232036 0.458113 1.091405 3.477533 24.733526
2025-03-23 0.077583 0.128759 0.229024 0.474579 1.225555 4.556562 52.256542
2025-03-30 0.070609 0.119035 0.216282 0.463404 1.267718 5.302447 94.446322
2025-04-06 0.066167 0.113586 0.211584 0.471766 1.385530 6.763410 248.495042
2025-04-13 0.061228 0.106525 0.202166 0.464669 1.443035 8.019426 662.277287
2025-04-20 0.057924 0.102472 0.199093 0.475771 1.590742 10.626019 5352.537282
2025-04-27 0.055386 0.099705 0.198591 0.494956 1.797795 15.050125 NaN
2025-05-04 0.052751 0.096413 0.196284 0.508054 1.993737 21.057359 NaN
2025-05-11 0.050538 0.093765 0.195125 0.524927 2.235870 31.046390 NaN
2025-05-18 0.048207 0.090589 0.192109 0.534591 2.453071 44.984801 NaN
2025-05-25 0.045878 0.087173 0.187938 0.538924 2.647759 64.583828 NaN
2025-06-01 0.043481 0.083364 0.182169 0.535553 2.789167 89.240509 NaN
2025-06-08 0.040964 0.079053 0.174460 0.522411 2.843290 113.982141 NaN
2025-06-15 0.039748 0.077662 0.174660 0.542006 3.221421 216.558733 NaN
2025-06-22 0.037604 0.073886 0.167599 0.528704 3.276152 292.545512 NaN
2025-06-29 0.036313 0.072044 0.165885 0.538656 3.599152 586.069240 NaN